The last poll, which came out last week, had Biden behind Trump by just two points before he dropped out of the race on Sunday.
On Monday and Tuesday, a new poll was taken. It came after the Republican National Convention, where Trump formally accepted the nomination on Thursday, and after Biden said on Sunday that he was dropping out of the race and supporting Harris.
In the national poll, Harris had a lead of 44% to 42% over Trump, which is within the 3-point margin of error. Harris’s team says she has secured the Democratic nomination.
In a poll taken from July 15–16, Harris and Trump were tied at 44%. In a poll taken from July 1–2, Trump was ahead by 1%, and both results were within the same margin of error.
Even though polls taken across the whole country are a good way to see how much support there is for a political candidate, it is usually just a few close states that tip the balance in the U.S. Electoral College and decide who wins the presidency.
A pollster for Trump’s campaign played down any polls that showed Harris’ support was growing, saying that she would probably see a short-term rise in popularity because of all the attention her new bid was getting.
A pollster named Tony Fabrizio told reporters in a letter that “that bump is likely to start showing itself over the next few days and will last for a while.”
A lot of candidates think they will get more votes after officially taking their party’s nomination at staged, televised conventions like Trump’s last week. But that wasn’t shown by the poll.
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